Preseason Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#228
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#146
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#162
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.3% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.3
.500 or above 50.0% 56.5% 28.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.2% 52.0% 35.8%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.6% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.9% 7.9%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round3.6% 4.1% 1.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 76.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 414 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 303   Jackson St. W 73-65 76%    
  Nov 12, 2019 24   @ Texas L 61-80 4%    
  Nov 15, 2019 166   @ California L 70-76 27%    
  Nov 22, 2019 284   Central Arkansas W 82-76 71%    
  Nov 27, 2019 165   South Dakota L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 04, 2019 296   UC Riverside W 73-66 73%    
  Dec 07, 2019 106   @ UC Irvine L 66-77 17%    
  Dec 14, 2019 326   Bethune-Cookman W 83-73 80%    
  Dec 18, 2019 346   Southern W 77-64 87%    
  Dec 22, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 83-66 93%    
  Jan 02, 2020 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 04, 2020 55   New Mexico St. L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 08, 2020 197   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 11, 2020 137   @ Grand Canyon L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 22, 2020 351   Chicago St. W 86-70 92%    
  Jan 25, 2020 234   UMKC W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 29, 2020 236   @ Utah Valley L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 01, 2020 168   @ Seattle L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 06, 2020 197   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 137   Grand Canyon L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 19, 2020 234   @ UMKC L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 351   @ Chicago St. W 83-73 80%    
  Feb 26, 2020 236   Utah Valley W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 29, 2020 168   Seattle L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 05, 2020 55   @ New Mexico St. L 66-82 9%    
  Mar 07, 2020 230   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-77 41%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.0 2.8 1.1 0.2 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.2 2.1 0.3 14.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.2 6.2 2.0 0.2 14.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.1 5.9 1.7 0.1 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.6 5.0 1.1 0.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.5 5.1 2.5 0.6 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.6 8.0 10.1 13.0 13.2 13.5 11.8 9.0 6.3 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 77.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-3 49.0% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1
12-4 18.2% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-5 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 44.4% 44.4% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 29.3% 29.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.8% 27.0% 27.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.3% 19.9% 19.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8
12-4 4.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.5
11-5 6.3% 9.8% 9.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 5.7
10-6 9.0% 6.3% 6.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.4
9-7 11.8% 4.1% 4.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 11.3
8-8 13.5% 2.8% 2.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.1
7-9 13.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 13.0
6-10 13.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.9
5-11 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-12 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
3-13 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-14 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.1 96.2 0.0%